If you ask your co-workers how they perform in their tasks or how good they are in the group, you will be amazed to find out that more than half of the people in a group rate themselves on the top quartile (25%) which, as we know, is not mathematically possible.
Why people have inflated self-assessment? Why do incompetent people feel they are superior? Are incompetent people unable to recognize their own incompetence (or “Are the stupid too stupid to realize they are stupid”)? How smart do we need to be to understand we are stupid? These questions are not so sarcastic as they sound like. Two social psychologists, David Dunning and Justin Kruger actually studied and identified this kind of illusory superiority as a form of cognitive bias and later, the phenomenon was named the Dunning-Kruger Effect. They published a paper, “Unskilled and Unaware of It: How Difficulties in Recognizing One's Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessment” and won the Ig Nobel Prize, an award to honor achievements that first make people laugh, and then make them think.
It’s our first Saturday meeting of the year; hope we can somewhat laugh and think together on how to recognize and deal with our own intelligence and stupidity since Confucius taught us that “Real knowledge is to know the extent of one’s ignorance.”
Reading/Listening Materials:
- Why incompetent people think they're amazing - David Dunning (5 min)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pOLmD_WVY-E
The more inept you are the smarter you think you are
http://www.bbc.com/future/story/2013112 ... eyre-smart
Stupid People Are Surprisingly Confident
https://science.howstuffworks.com/life/ ... fident.htm
[Optional] Stupid people are confident, while the intelligent are doubtful
http://wildfiretoday.com/2010/05/12/stu ... -doubtful/
1. Why the “not-so-amazing” (incompetent, bumblers, underperformers) think they're amazing? Could you give some examples, such as political figures, celebrities in the entertainment industry, your co-workers or ourselves?
2. What causes the inflated self-assessment? Is it because of the surviving needs, false praise/compliments from others, people’s own stupidity or something else?
3. People like to stay in their cozy “echo chambers”, in this case how do we see clearly our own ignorance?
4. What are the differences between the Dunning-Kruger Effect, self-confidence and self-esteem? How do we prevent poor self-assessment, and in the meantime maintaining our self-confidence and self-esteem?
SESSION II:
In the second session, I’d like to discuss two masterminds behind the two complex businesses, Tesla (SpaceX, SolarCity, The Boring Company, etc.) and Amazon.com. [Notes: If it is too much to discuss both of them, we’ll just talk about Elon Musk in this session.]
First, “past performance is no guarantee of future results” as seen in most investment disclaimers, I don’t know if Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos will uphold their supremacy (status, reign) or if their businesses can sustain in next few decades, but the two masterminds behind their complex businesses and technological worlds seem to be worth exploring.
Reading & Listening Materials:
- The Story of Elon Musk: (12 min)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s7N-9E_e-wk
How Elon Musk Solves Problems? (4 min)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=grSdMoiMgb4
[Optional Reading] Elon's empire: the sprawling, intertwining web of Elon Musk's vested interests]
http://www.wired.co.uk/article/elon-mus ... cex-empire
1. Which part of Elon Musk’s life inspires you the most? Why so?
2. Elon Musk said that “I am not sure I want to be me” in one of his interviews. Why do you think he said that?
(See https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4HPR8WDwWb0 )
3. What is “The First Principle’s Theory” (Elon Musk’s problem-solving method)?
(As explained in “How Elon Musk Solves Problems?” (4 min): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=grSdMoiMgb4 )
- a. What is “To reason from first principles rather than by analogy”?
b. Give some examples that normal people like us “reason from analogy”.
c. How Elon Musk uses “The First Principle’s method”?
d. Have you ever analyzed your mental model for solving problems? What is it? What is the advantage and disadvantage of your problem-solving mental model?
e. Would you consider Elon Musk’s method? How would you adopt it into your daily life?
3:45 ~ 4:00pm Greetings & Free Talk / Ordering Beverage or Meal / Getting Newcomer’s Information
4:00 ~ 4:10pm Opening Remarks / Newcomer’s Self-introduction / Grouping
(Session I)
4:10 ~ 4:50pm Discussion Session (40 mins)
4:50 ~ 5:10pm Summarization (20 mins)
5:10 ~ 5:20pm Regrouping / Instruction Giving / Taking a 10 Minutes Break (Intermission)
(Session II)
5:20 ~ 6:00pm Discussion Session (40 mins)
6:00 ~ 6:20pm Summarization (20 mins)
6:20 ~ 6:30pm Concluding Remarks / Announcements
********************************************************************************************************************************************
聚會日期:列於該貼文主題內
聚會時間:請準時 4:00 pm 到 ~ 約 6:30 pm 左右結束
星期六聚會地點:丹堤濟南店
地址、電話:台北市濟南路三段25號 地圖 (02) 2740-2350
捷運站:板南線 忠孝新生站 3 號出口
走法:出忠孝新生站 3 號出口後,沿著巷子(忠孝東路三段10巷)走約 2 分鐘,到了濟南路口,左轉走約 2 分鐘即可看到。
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注意事項:
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給新朋友的話:
1. 請事先準備2~3分鐘的英語自我介紹;會議結束前可能會請你發表1~2分鐘的感想。
2. 請事先閱讀文章以及主持人所提的討論問題,並事先寫下自己所欲發表意見的英文。
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